Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Mansfield
20.8%
Draw
29.1%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Mansfield
vs
1.37
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).