Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Malmö FF
27.5%
Draw
46.2%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Malmö FF
vs
1.58
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).