Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Maidenhead
22.8%
Draw
52.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Maidenhead
vs
2.06
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).