Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Accrington
28.7%
Draw
28.3%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Accrington
vs
0.90
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).