Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Ternana
29.7%
Draw
45.4%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Ternana
vs
1.39
Lecce
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).