Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
AGF
25.1%
Draw
22.3%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
AGF
vs
1.09
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).