Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Nott'm Forest
27.9%
Draw
17.4%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.75
Swansea
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).