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04 Apr 2022 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.1%
Buyuksehyr
15.9%
Draw
5.0%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.73

Buyuksehyr

vs
0.66

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).