Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Macclesfield
30.1%
Draw
41.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Macclesfield
vs
1.08
Exeter
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).