Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Umraniyespor
26.6%
Draw
33.6%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Umraniyespor
vs
1.70
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).