Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
Hannover
15.1%
Draw
8.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Hannover
vs
0.87
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).