Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
FC Koln
17.7%
Draw
11.8%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
FC Koln
vs
0.94
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).