Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Plymouth
23.2%
Draw
27.4%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Plymouth
vs
1.09
Southend
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).