Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Ferrol
30.8%
Draw
43.4%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Ferrol
vs
1.12
Eldense
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).