Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Sampdoria
29.8%
Draw
40.0%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Sampdoria
vs
1.32
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).