Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Alaves
31.1%
Draw
27.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alaves
vs
0.86
Leganes
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).