Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Tonbridge Angels
16.8%
Draw
20.3%
Harborough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Tonbridge Angels
vs
1.55
Harborough Town
Markets
BTTS73.5%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-2
5.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
4-2
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).