Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Hull
22.4%
Draw
56.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Hull
vs
2.09
Fulham
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).