Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Stevenage
21.3%
Draw
12.9%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Stevenage
vs
0.63
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).