Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Nimes
20.1%
Draw
61.2%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Nimes
vs
2.00
Lyon
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).