Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Burton
24.0%
Draw
28.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Burton
vs
1.07
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).