Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Virtus Entella
32.5%
Draw
29.9%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Virtus Entella
vs
0.97
Padova
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).