Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Lech Poznań
22.8%
Draw
21.4%
Pogoń Szczecin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Lech Poznań
vs
1.22
Pogoń Szczecin
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).