Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Vitória Guimarães
27.3%
Draw
23.6%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.01
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).