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21 Feb 2021 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.6%
Genk
20.7%
Draw
15.7%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Genk

vs
0.99

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).