Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Shrewsbury
24.9%
Draw
53.0%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Shrewsbury
vs
1.43
Bolton
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).