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AHT: 01CSV

23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.7%
Peterboro
20.5%
Draw
68.7%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Peterboro

vs
2.07

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.5%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).