Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Rochdale
27.5%
Draw
18.8%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Rochdale
vs
0.82
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).