Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Spartak Moskva
27.0%
Draw
41.1%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.58
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).