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AHT: 02CSV

08 May 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Middlesbrough
27.0%
Draw
15.1%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Middlesbrough

vs
0.69

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.4%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).