Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Osasuna
25.3%
Draw
21.1%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Osasuna
vs
0.94
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).