Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.1%
Boavista
15.0%
Draw
79.8%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Boavista
vs
2.16
Porto
Markets
BTTS26.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.9%
0-1
17.7%
0-3
13.6%
0-0
7.8%
0-4
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).