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01 Feb 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Buyuksehyr
28.9%
Draw
19.5%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Buyuksehyr

vs
1.05

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).