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DHT: 00CSV

07 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.6%
Goztep
22.6%
Draw
4.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Goztep

vs
0.40

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS30.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.1%
1-0
16.8%
3-0
11.7%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-0
2.2%
0-1
2.0%
1-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).