Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Kilmarnock
22.8%
Draw
8.9%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Kilmarnock
vs
0.60
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).