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08 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Dag and Red
27.6%
Draw
51.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Dag and Red

vs
1.55

Stockport

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).