Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Augsburg
21.9%
Draw
59.5%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Augsburg
vs
2.11
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).