Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Braintree Town
32.6%
Draw
38.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Braintree Town
vs
1.11
Sutton
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).