Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Burgos
29.6%
Draw
25.0%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Burgos
vs
0.81
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).