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AHT: 01

26 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.7%
Gent
23.2%
Draw
63.1%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Gent

vs
1.79

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).