Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Cambridge
23.3%
Draw
55.5%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Cambridge
vs
1.57
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).