⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 22CSV

27 Apr 2019

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Motherwell
19.3%
Draw
10.0%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Motherwell

vs
0.67

Dundee

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).