Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
AGF
25.5%
Draw
18.4%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
AGF
vs
0.89
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).