Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Carlisle
24.0%
Draw
48.2%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Carlisle
vs
1.89
York
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).