Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Andorra
28.3%
Draw
19.4%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Andorra
vs
0.69
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).