Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Bournemouth
27.6%
Draw
36.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Bournemouth
vs
1.38
Fulham
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).