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AHT: 01

24 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Antwerp
30.1%
Draw
32.8%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Antwerp

vs
1.06

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).