Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Bournemouth
23.4%
Draw
17.2%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Bournemouth
vs
0.94
Hull
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).