Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.9%
Galatasaray
13.2%
Draw
4.0%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Galatasaray
vs
0.67
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-1
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
5.3%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.5%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).