Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Salernitana
35.5%
Draw
33.7%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Salernitana
vs
0.93
Trapani
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
14.0%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).